August 21, 2005

A Quick Briefing on Keynesian Economics

Although not constructed by Keynes himself, the IS-LM model is the Royal Road to understanding his thought. The vertical axis is the rate of interest, the horizontal is the rate of growth in the economy. The IS line plots a series of equilibrium points for the real economy, the world of traded goods and services. The LM line plots a similar series of equilibrium points for financial markets.

The image “http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/0/03/Islm.png” cannot be displayed, because it contains errors.

These are not supply and demand curves - to move either line a lot of things have to happen. From the article:

"One Keynesian hypothesis is that a government's deficit spending has an effect similar to that of a lower saving rate or increased private fixed investment, increasing the amount of aggregate demand for national income at each individual interest rate. An increased deficit by the national government shifts the IS curve to the right. This raises the equilibrium interest rate (from r1 to r2) and national income (from Y1 to Y2), as shown in the graph above.

"The graph indicates one of the major criticisms of deficit spending as a way to stimulate the economy: rising interest rates lead to crowding out – i.e., discouragement – of private fixed investment, which in turn may hurt long-term growth of the supply side (potential output). Keynesians respond that deficit spending may actually "crowd in" (encourage) private fixed investment via the accelerator effect, which helps long-term growth. Further, if government deficits are spent on productive public investment (e.g., infrastructure or public health) that directly and eventually raises potential output."


In other news, Wikipedia has replaced all other sources of knowledge.

1 Comments:

Blogger JAB said...

If memory serves, only the Kennedy administration managed the US surplus/deficit/ interest rate matrix with the principles of this graph directly in mind, and it worked great, until Kennedy was shot and we got ourselves sunk in Vietnam. Since then, it's basically been budget crisis to budget crisis with an enormous quarterly anti-inflation enema, whose result has been laudable stabilty and moribund real income and chronic unreported unemployment.

Far afield, and resting on two quarters of micro from 20 years ago, I am prepared to be corrected.

August 21, 2005 at 3:19 PM  

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