A Brewing Landslide
We've been fairly quiet on the political front here- sort of a combination of over-saturation, FISA irritation and holding of breath (like the moment for significant pause last week when Obama's plane conked out,) but I'm still seeing the kind of year for the Old Goiter Party where I'm afraid that come November, I'm going to wear out the barrel on the Schaudenfredenator...
(where did I leave that btw, I can't find it!)
The combination of the small but very consistent Obama lead in the last two months, and interesting stirrings on the sidelines, like this massive new voter registration imbalance in Florida, are seismic movements that to me suggest the possibility - the possibility- of a landslide.
And here's my thing with this, though...if victory is in reach, no holding back: take out all the stops. Phil Graham has been wrong about everything economic in the way Cheney is wrong about everything else. These are just two of the worst, most destructive people in America, a group otherwise known as the GOP, and McCain would have about as much influence over them as a 7th-day Adventist would at a wet-t-shirt contest.
I've been an Obama supporter primarily because I believed that his ability to create mass-movements as a basis for political action is the KEY to getting the country to move ahead. The bigger the victory, the greater the base political power there will be, and the more good that can happen.
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Carter-Reagan looked close for a while, too. It wasn't.
The most searching analysis I've heard of what's going on came on Bill Moyers' show this week, as he discussed conservatism in America with two strongly conservative, anti-Bush guests. You can watch it here.
My favorite moment - a panelist reports that some people opposed the original Bill of Rights on the grounds that some fool would come along one day and say that those were the only rights people had. "That fool," he notes, "was Robert Bork."
Moyers' American Dream project is right on-target. The American government of the past five years has, at times, looked more consistent with Argentinian or Russian values than American ones.
Americans are pretty easy to fool, but they don't like being disrespected. And some of the administration's behavior could easily be taken a disrespectful of ordinary Americans. My guess is that they'll come out in droves to express their views.
Isn't this a little bit like saying "Hey, that Goalie's got a shutout going!"?
AP-Ipsos Poll: 83% of Americans think the country is going in the wrong direction.
Here are some more recent poll findings:
- About 15% of Americans are currently satisfied with national conditions, down from 51% in 2001 (Gallup).
- Seven in ten American rate current economic policies as bad (Harris).
- 75% of Americans blame Bush (LA Times/Bloomberg)
- Over half of Americans say they are financially worse-off than one year ago, a record since they started asking the question in 1976 (Gallup).
- Bush, Cheney, Rice, and Congress are at historically low approval levels (Harris).
- Taxing the rich? Everyone seems to think it's a good idea (Harris).
It's ugly out there. People are mad.
Zogby has the electoral college at 273-160 for Obama, with 105 votes too close too call.
Dr. X has made a much more thorough case, but it must be that the Viceroy is the master of sports mojo understanding, earned from years of small dense black disks hurling at his face
So it is on that level I make this argument: when you are in a battle, underestimating the enemy, or indulging overconfidence is a killer. But it may even be a greater problem to overestimate them, and miss an opportunity to crush them. That is what I think is happening now.
Fellow Democrats:
They are weak. It isn't a trap, they don't have secret unused resources anymore. They are weak and in the way, and if we are to retrieve our nation, we will destroy this small, elite organization of corrupt self-serving liars.
Yes. This is the good. Now is the time to crush our enemies, see them driven before us, and to hear the lamentation of their women.
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