October 06, 2005

IAYPA Update

#1 - Roethlisberger (11.5), who has 6 TDS and a league-leading unadjusted YPA of 11.5 yards with zero, count them, zero interceptions. He could throw four interceptions next week and still be #1. Everyone else is playing for second place.

#2 - Kerry Collins (7.8), the finest 1-3 QB in football still hasn't thrown an INT. His NFL pass rating is 6th-best in the AFC, his IAYPA is 2nd-best in the NFL. This is a perfect example of a good player getting gypped by the rating formula, which overemphasizes completion percentage, rewarding drop-and-dinkers against real men who heave the ball downfield. The r2 of the two measures is 88%, but at the margin IAYPA gives a superior read on the quality of play.

#3 - Drew Bledsoe (7.4). Threw another pick, but also threw for 212 yards, enough to keep him up near the top.

#4 - Carson Palmer (7.3). Like the Laird said last week, watch out for this guy. He threw for 276 yards with no INTs on Sunday. And now the Bengals are 4-0.

#5 - Eli Manning (7.2). Ewww... But he's already thrown for almost a thousand yards, hasn't thrown a pick since game #1.

Famous guys who are way below average (which is 5.5): Michael Vick (5.1), Jake Plummer (4.9), Bret Favre (4.0), and Daunte Culpepper (3.9).

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