September 17, 2006

Ursus Rex

Dr X. posts this from the Mean Regression Archives at Stanford (0-3) University:

"I don't wish to alarm you, but a Mr. Rex Grossman has probably played the best two consecutive games by a Bear quarterback since the Halas era. 551 yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT, IAYPA of 9.5.

"That is outrageous performance, and it won't last. Last year's regular-season IAYPA champion, Roethlisberger, had a 7.5 for the season. Rex can't, and won't keep it up.

"But let's keep an eye on this fellow. He is 26 now - an age when many athletes take a major step forward. Some can sustain it after that, some can't.

"What's sunk him in the past have been the INTs. In his Bears career prior to this year he threw for 1,303 yard, but with six interceptions, giving him a very ordinary 5.1 IAYPA. But hey, the NFL average last year was 5.4, and the Bears' other quarterbacks have been far, far worse (Kyle Orton was last in the league last year, with an IAYPA of 3.3).

"So if Grossman's average this year, he's better than what they had. And so far he's way above average."

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home