November 04, 2008

The seven McCain Death Knell states

According to Nate Silver, there are seven contested states that McCain must win. If he loses even one of them, his probability of winning will be near zero.

Here they are, in order of poll closing times:

Indiana
Georgia
Florida
North Carolina
Ohio
Missouri
Montana

8 Comments:

Blogger JAB said...

I notice that on fivethirtyeight McCain's win percentage pie chart slice, at 1.1%, is so small that there are no red pixels left on my screen.

November 4, 2008 at 11:54 AM  
Blogger The Sum of All Monkeys said...

1.1 %

Wow.

The lowest yet.

November 4, 2008 at 12:14 PM  
Blogger popmonkey said...

POP prediction: mccain loses indiana

November 4, 2008 at 1:11 PM  
Blogger The Front said...

I have four words for you:


PENN-CIL-FREAKING-VANIA!!!

November 4, 2008 at 5:34 PM  
Blogger The Front said...

OH-FREAKING-HIGH-YO!

November 4, 2008 at 6:27 PM  
Blogger VMM said...

Ohio == GAME OVER FOR McCAIN

November 4, 2008 at 6:55 PM  
Blogger The Front said...

And Florida too.

In case you were wondering if he still had gas in the tank - that was the best acceptance speech I've ever heard.

November 4, 2008 at 9:24 PM  
Blogger The Sum of All Monkeys said...

364 to 173

Nice to see a better than 2 to 1 margin...

November 5, 2008 at 9:10 AM  

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