IAYPA after the first post

There are many new names at the quarterback position in the NFL, but the names at the top are familiar.  So, alas, are the names at the bottom.  Many of the mighty have fallen.

NFL quarterbacks with more than 100 attempts this season

QB - IAYPA, TDs as % of Attempts


Ultra Super-Elite
Andy Dalton - 8.6, 7.3%
Tom Brady - 8.4, 7.1%
Carson Palmer - 7.7, 7.3%
Aaron Rodgers - 7.6, 8.2%

Think about that:  when Aaron Rodgers drops back, the ball ends up in the end zone 8% of the time.  This against professional foot-ball players.  Amazing.



Super Elite
Brian Hoyer - 7.4, 6.1%
Philip Rivers - 7.4, 4.7%

Hoyer and Rivers are playing very well, but note the considerably lower probability of the ball finding its way into the end zone when it leaves their hands.

Elite
Russell Wilson - 7.1, 3.9% <-- "There's a man inside." But also season leader in sacks (26).
Drew Brees - 7.0, 3.3%
Alex Smith - 6.8, 2.9%
Matt Ryan - 6.8, 3.5%
Josh McCown - 6.7, 4.3%
Eli Manning - 6.7, 5.1%
Tyrod Taylor - 6.5, 6.6% <-- His TD% is highest outside of the top four
Derek Carr - 6.3, 4.9%

Derek Carr is real.  Manning is better than his recent reputation.  Alex Smith still gets no respect.

Near Elite
Marcus Mariota - 6.1, 5.6%
Colin Kaepernick - 6.1, 3.4% <-- Finally found Torrey Smith.  If he finds Davis, too, watch out.
Jay Cutler - 5.9, 4.0% <-- Has bad body language

The NFL medians are 6.1 and 4.5%.  And yet two of these men are reviled as failures.  That Mariota is playing this well as a rookie is an extremely good sign.

Slightly Less-Than-Elite
Teddy Bridgewater - 5.9, 4.0%
Cam Newton - 5.6, 5.1%
Jameis Winston - 5.4, 4.6%
Blake Bortles - 5.3, 5.4%
Sam Bradford - 5.2, 4.2%
Joe Flacco - 5.1, 3.2%
Nick Foles - 5.0, 4.3%
Ryan Tannehill - 5.0, 4.5%
Matthew Stafford - 4.9, 4.2%
Ryan Fitzpatrick - 4.8, 5.3%

Regrettable
Kirk Cousins - 4.5, 2.6%
Peyton Manning - 4.3, 3.0% <-- Turn out the lights, the party's over...
Andrew Luck - 4.3, 4.8% <-- Andrew Luck?  Why are you hangin' around with these guys?
Ryan Mallett - 3.9, 2.0%