August 03, 2006

Angry, Angry Hippos

I am perversely fascinated by this New Scripps/ Howard poll:

More than a third of the American public suspects that federal officials assisted in the 9/11 terrorist attacks or took no action to stop them so the United States could go to war in the Middle East, according to a new Scripps Howard/Ohio University poll.

The national survey of 1,010 adults also found that anger against the federal government is at record levels, with 54 percent saying they "personally are more angry" at the government than they used to be.

Its not often that the general American Left goes off the deep end en masse, this being, I hope, a rare example. (The only thing to give me pause was a guy I know who was in the British SAS for many years who was calmly certain that the attacks were an orchestrated conspiracy involving the Bush administration. The theory may be crackers with cheese on top, although the SAS guy was well-educated and disarmingly thoughtful. But you can't really go off on conspiracy tangents from guys you know, you know. )

But what it does suggest is that there is a profound disengagement of a large segment of the populace from the polity, which the DC Centrists (again, as opposed to moderates) in the Democratic party simply can't see and are unable to either influence or take strength from.

More than a third of American voters believe there was a 9/11 Bush conspiracy? Look at it another way: understandably susceptible to total cynicism, and therefore a bit deluded, this an unused leftist power base that alone outnumbers "strong approvals" of Bush (about 20%). (Strong disapprovals are around 39, 40%). Forgetting the conspiracy for the moment- there is huge potential power base here, that the MSM has got us believing does not exist. This is considerably larger than self-described and more thoroughly-deluded evangelicals, for example.

On a related note, Lieberman is about to lose the primary, and my bet is that he'll lose the general. His actions in recent days disqualify him from being the Democratic nominee - his willingness to betray the party election process, his extreme self-regard, his condescension to critics. It's more than the war - he's embraced everything around the Patriot Act, the gutting of the Constitution and the concentration of executive power. I am reminded of a punk rock rant from years ago: "these are the kind of people that, when the Gestapo comes for you, offer to water your plants while you're away."

The danger to the party is absurdly overstated. I have little patience for the elite whining about a primary - service is a privilege, and if you forget that, out with you.

2 Comments:

Blogger Undersecretary to the Deputy Commissariat said...

I wouldn't give a moment's thought to this being a phenomenon of the Left. It sounds more like an amalgam of the lunatic fringes and the angry-but-apathetic nonaligned.

If I read you correctly, we are agreed so far. I see no support for the notion that this group will veer left if stirred to action. It seems much more likely that they will merely attempt to vote the bums out and then settle back into apathy, except for those who've maxed all of their credit cards.

Or they'll just be so many loose cannon. The past two general elections have proven that it's child's play to distract such a cohort and waste their energy on irrelevant and made-up scandals.

My suggestion remains: find a flag that we can rally around beyond merely voting the evil fascist bums out.

August 3, 2006 at 1:41 PM  
Blogger JAB said...

Poll details indicate that this is predominantly a belief of the Left - but belief in this conspiracy declines with education. In other words, these are high school grads who lean very heavily Democratic.

http://www.shns.com/shns/g_index2.cfm?action=detail&pk=CONSPIRACY-CHART2-08-02-06

It is precisely the disenfranchisement of working people from the Democratic Party - these very people - that has weakened the party most severely.

The problem is more subtle. What I'm saying is that this conspiracy theory - remember that we're talking about a group of people as large as the Democratic Party itself - is a factually incorrect but not irrrational response to a wholly legitmate set of concerns: anger at the government, mistrust as the result of perception of official lying, and importantly, a feeling of disenfranchisement that comes from your fellow, better-educated and luckier progressives not taking you seriously.

They have maxed out their cards. They're making 10 bucks an hour. They are essentially young, poor, disenfranchised progresives and it is the party's essential responsibility to bring them in and get them involved.

Have you been to Democratic event recently? It's like a senior cruise. I went to the state convention and ended up asking out the only single woman under 35 I could find, who was being hit on by the former governor at the time.

We work to get them, or the apathy becomes permanent, and the nation is lost. We're a national party, not a liberal social club.

August 3, 2006 at 4:00 PM  

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