November 06, 2008

Not Over Yet: Letter from the Begich Campaign

Hi Friends,

I cannot tell you how many e mails I have so, by necessity, I am sending this quick generic e mail.

There are about 60,000 votes out. Of those there are 9500 known Early Votes, 5700 questioned with as many as another 8000 or more questioned ballots (similar to Provisional ballots in some states – in Anchorage these are often teachers and those who work far enough away from their homes, but near a polling place), and 46,000 or so absentee ballots of a substantial number are not mail in but are early vote absentee.

Based on these things, we believe it is possible (I think probably a good 50/50 chance) to win and so Mark has not conceded. We won about 59% of the early voting absentees. Generally have done well with Anchorage Mail in absentees (won a Mayor’s race on them) and are likely to do less well in the out of Anchorage absentees. We solidly won rural Alaska, Fairbanks and Southeast and expect to do well with their absentees, though not with Mat-Su, Roads and Kenai.

We also have seen some precinct anomalies that have to be addressed (one precinct shows hardly any votes for Mark and Ted, but large numbers of votes for the two independents – likely a machine calibration error). Given all of this, and many of you know that I crunch numbers all the time, I believe we might still win, but won’t know until around the 17th at the earliest.

Hope that helps – we are doing well and look forward anxiously to the next few weeks.

Best,


Tom B.

PS: In a great surprise both my friends Chris Tuck and Pete Peterson (a fellow musician) won Anchorage House seats!

1 Comments:

Blogger The Sum of All Monkeys said...

Grumble. Mutter. Another campaign contribution out the door. Mutter grumble

November 7, 2008 at 9:08 AM  

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