Obama to Alaska? Consistently Behind, McCain is in Serious Trouble

A spate of new polls, particularly with Obama leading Florida, Virginia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and within 4 points in Alaska (!) shows potential for something of if not a numerical but electoral landslide. The overall national Obama lead is small, of the order of 4-7 points, but it's sticking for the moment, and showing some real depth in states that matter.

The Alaska number may be telling. Aside from the earmark-sweating McCain did before he gave up personhood for toolhood, Alaska should be McCainville- Independenty but Republican. But things are stirring: I would bet on a suprisingly large Obama organization materialising in Anchorage.

As I write this, I find the Huffington Post is calling today for an Obama Alaska visit. And that argument is based a bigger lead for McCain a month ago.

Excellent idea. And here's the hook: use it to trip up McCain on offshore drilling in an oil state, and make a particular appeal to First Peoples. Great opportunity to pull in fisherfolks. It's worth the trip sooner rather than later, if only for the heart-stopping fear of God it will put in the GOP having to defend Alaska, and possibly losing. Combine it with a nostalgic, riotously happy run through Hawaii- .... but do it quickly before the opportunity costs rise.