Two Electoral Votes
This meta analysis page is excellent. Pre-debate Kerry was getting whipped pretty bad. And now, he is two electoral votes ahead. Note the asterisk - if Colorado's ballot initiative passes, four additional electoral votes go to Kerry...
posted by Anonymous at 8:51 PM
2 Comments:
An excellent resource indeed, especially because I agree: note particularly the discussion on weighting v/ non-weighting by party, which statistically confirms what I've thought for a while: Gallup's (non-weighted by party) is consistently off towards the Rs, not illogically, but mistakenly, Rasmusson's weighted too much by party and is therefore too stable (I would add a smidgeon biased toward the investor class), and there is some evidence that Zogby's got the right balance.
Thank goodness I blew 45 large on that poli sci degree.
So stow any malingering fatalism, mateys.
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